English Coronavirus 2020

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03.04.20 07:39:11 pm
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The kennyS
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@user DC: Nice, Well done.
03.04.20 08:09:30 pm
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Hador
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That's pretty neat - how do you calculate the projections?
The settings say "current growth rate", but does that go any deeper than the current growth rate? Because especially in logistic curves, the second derivative plays an important role. Also, it seems to only look at the last measured growth, maybe a weighted inclusion of past growths might create more realistic results

Also, the projection for a year makes for some interesting results - Saint Vincent and the Grenadines are predicted to have more than a Googol of infections within a year
03.04.20 09:43:27 pm
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Medeiros
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@user DC: wow, very nicely made! Really dig the simplistic and modern design. One thing though:
More >

The virus is called SARS-CoV-2, not "nCoV-19". The name 2019-nCoV was used temporarily (as a provisional name) until it was properly classified, but its been months since that term has been used.

Also there's no space between "corona" and "virus", the word is coronavirus.
03.04.20 09:54:02 pm
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DC
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@user Medeiros: Thank you sir. Will update

@user Hador: The projection is extremely simple and probably needs some work. The used formulas should also be explained somewhere. Right now "current rate" is only based on the very last increase (between current and previous day).
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