Coronavirus 2020
104 replies That's pretty neat - how do you calculate the projections?
The settings say "current growth rate", but does that go any deeper than the current growth rate? Because especially in logistic curves, the second derivative plays an important role. Also, it seems to only look at the last measured growth, maybe a weighted inclusion of past growths might create more realistic results
Also, the projection for a year makes for some interesting results - Saint Vincent and the Grenadines are predicted to have more than a Googol of infections within a year
The settings say "current growth rate", but does that go any deeper than the current growth rate? Because especially in logistic curves, the second derivative plays an important role. Also, it seems to only look at the last measured growth, maybe a weighted inclusion of past growths might create more realistic results
Also, the projection for a year makes for some interesting results - Saint Vincent and the Grenadines are predicted to have more than a Googol of infections within a year

Hador
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DC: wow, very nicely made! Really dig the simplistic and modern design. One thing though:
The virus is called SARS-CoV-2, not "nCoV-19". The name 2019-nCoV was used temporarily (as a provisional name) until it was properly classified, but its been months since that term has been used.
Also there's no space between "corona" and "virus", the word is coronavirus.

The virus is called SARS-CoV-2, not "nCoV-19". The name 2019-nCoV was used temporarily (as a provisional name) until it was properly classified, but its been months since that term has been used.
Also there's no space between "corona" and "virus", the word is coronavirus.
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DC: thanks for including so much data, from australia no less, i appriciate that you added all the states even though you realistically didnt need to.
well done
you've clearly earned your web design wings well and truly.

well done

you've clearly earned your web design wings well and truly.
Washington was the first place hit in the us. I live there and I am in quarantine. I am going stir-crazy. The only thing I currently am able to do is work on stranded II mods. Good for you guys but not so good for me. Does anyone have any ideas of how to have fun if you are in quarantine?
EDIT:cool website,
DC
EDIT:cool website,

Rewarding greedy people in the hope that it will improve the economy is like rewarding rapists in the hope that it will increase the fertility rate. Both options are irresponsible, and lead to innocent people getting screwed.|
New Economic System



I don't really like the dotted underline.
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Gaios: Totally agree. Removed it.
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Pagyra: Yeah also observed things like that already. Probably values were inaccurate or only partially corrected, leading to weird results in calculations.
Edit:
I added live projection counters for the selected region and worldwide!
https://www.coronacurve.de/
they work this way:
with factor ranging from 0 (00:00 h) to 1 (24:00 h) and also beyond 1 if the 24:00 elapsed without getting new data (there's a 2-3 hour delay with fetching latest data).
for the global counter it's the sum of all cases reported last day and the sum of all new cases reported last day.

@

Edit:
I added live projection counters for the selected region and worldwide!
https://www.coronacurve.de/
they work this way:
Code:
1
total cases reported last day + new cases last day * factor
with factor ranging from 0 (00:00 h) to 1 (24:00 h) and also beyond 1 if the 24:00 elapsed without getting new data (there's a 2-3 hour delay with fetching latest data).
for the global counter it's the sum of all cases reported last day and the sum of all new cases reported last day.
edited 2×, last 10.04.20 08:49:39 pm
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DC: Could you add a percentage based sort (for new cases/deaths compared to previous day)

www.cs2d.me has launched - Join Now
*CLOSED*

considering how small my country is
the disease is pretty bloody infectious
the disease is pretty bloody infectious
Why did u revive the game again?
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Reaper: Sorry I don't have plans to put more time into this. Other pages have been improved a lot and I can't compete with that without putting more time into this little project than I want to.
The full source of the page (HTML + JavaScript) can be viewed though. It's not minified or anything. So people who know something about JS could easily make a version with different sorting.

The full source of the page (HTML + JavaScript) can be viewed though. It's not minified or anything. So people who know something about JS could easily make a version with different sorting.
26.05.20 02:04:54 pm
Fun Fact: If you visit https://coronacurve.de, scroll down to the global list and click twice on the heart filter icon, you'll find Spain at the top of the list. Funnily the number of new cases and new deaths have gone negative although this is a sum and dead people cannot be revived.
The reason for that odd behavior is that Spain corrected its death count, which makes the statistic believe the delta of new infections and deaths has gone negative. Thus, statistically Spain now has the best health rate on corona infections in the world.
Conclusion: Never trust statistics that you didn't manipulate yourself
The reason for that odd behavior is that Spain corrected its death count, which makes the statistic believe the delta of new infections and deaths has gone negative. Thus, statistically Spain now has the best health rate on corona infections in the world.
Conclusion: Never trust statistics that you didn't manipulate yourself

That's going to be worse and worse, We couldn't control this virus, Now even a new virus appeared. I wonder what will be our "future".
lol this was virus was so stupid and useless that they've already reopened the pubs and gyms in australia as if nothing happened (because nothing did.)